Internal Division in the American Administration on Indictment

Informed diplomatic sources in London revealed to Al Intiqad that Hizbullah did not only win the first round but also the whole battle related to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon and the indictment. 

The sources added that there is a stream inside the American Administration, particularly in the National Security Council that heads for not issuing the indictment soon. According to the same sources, this stream's decision stems from the following given: 

First, the continuous threatening of issuing an indictment is considered as a pressuring tool that is actually more successful and effective. In addition, in case the indictment was issued without a previous agreement among the Lebanese, then Hizbullah and the Opposition will for sure bring their threats of retaliation into effect. 

Moreover, in light of total absence of a clear idea on the work plan of the Opposition, the supporters of this theory (not issuing indictment) are convinced that the Opposition will take over the country, whether violently or non-violently. (And in case the parliamentary majority was reversed without any violence, then the international community cannot but accept the political and democratic process, and this was the clear answer of international diplomatic envoys when asked about the issue). 

In this case (reverse of parliamentary majority), then the March 14 team will not be in authority and will have a minority of no effect on important decisions. Consequently, the international community loses its major ally in Lebanon and move to almost join the course of the Syrian-Iranian axis.

Not only that but also this will constitute a painful hit to the Western interests which will lose its direct influence on the track events in Lebanon. 

Furthermore, the absence of a clear plan of an "Israeli" aggression of guaranteed results on Lebanon, which means strengthening the opposition, particularly Hizbullah. 

In this context, this American stream prefers postponing the issuance of the indictment on a long term in such a way that it remains to pressure Hizbullah while monitoring the developments on the regional level, especially the current talks between the international community and Iran.
The same sources also added that another stream exists in the American Administration, which is the US Department of State, known to be the closest to the Zionist lobby.

This stream, opposite to the first stream considers that the indictment should be issued as soon as possible in order to accelerate the process of instability in Lebanon and cause division among the Lebanese. 

To this point, according to the sources, the first stream seems to be ahead of the second, and in case a new postponement of the indictment takes place, this opens the door to following delays. Also, the tribunal is turning into a heavy burden due to the illegitimate legal amendments in its system, the Wikileaks cables that exposed connection between the General Prosecutor Daniel Bellemare and the American Intelligence. 

In conclusion, no stream has won over the other, but more voices join the postponement of the indictment whether in the US or international community.